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Revolutionary Fervor to Spread Beyond Arab States; Europe Next

Gerald Celente
Trends Research
Feb 2, 2011

When the Tunisian government toppled, the mass media and their stable of experts ­ who were blindsided by these events ­ quickly stepped in to proclaim the obvious: that citizens of other Arab nations would be emboldened to challenge autocratic and corrupt governments.

Now Egypt is in the throes of insurrection, and Algeria, Jordan, Morocco and Yemen are already targeted for revolutionary change. The richer and more tightly controlled Kingdoms of the Middle East will not be immune to challenges from their citizenry to break the chains of royal rule.

But, as I had forecast in the Trends Journal, it is not solely the Middle East that is destined to experience episodes of violent upheaval. What is transpiring in the Arab world will spread throughout many European states. While the call to arms will be spoken in different tongues, the underlying causes will be the same.

In December 2010 (before Tunisia made the headlines) we issued a Trend Alert® titled, “Off With Their Heads!” in which we predicted a “long war between the people and the ruling classes.” We noted that, “Anyone questioning the intensity of the people’s seething anger is either out of touch or in denial.”

It wasn’t Arab anger that led us to that forecast ­ it was the student and worker revolts spilling into the streets of Europe. The imposition of draconian austerity measures ­ higher taxes, tuition hikes, lost benefits, curtailed services, public sector job cuts ­ had young and old raging against a rigged system that paved the way for the privileged and punished the proles.



Though millions marched through the streets of Athens, Brussels, Dublin, Lisbon, London and Madrid, when the protests ended, the governments were barely shaken, let alone toppled. Unlike the autocratic Arab regimes, where the tight grip of repression could only be broken by violence, in the “democratic” West the illusion of representation and placating government promises mitigated the violence.

Both the press and politicians assumed the protests would run their course, people would accept their fate, and, like it or not, suffer the consequences. The protests, however, have not run their course. The economic toll of austerity and unemployment continues to ravage the lower and middle classes. As we wrote in the Winter 2011 Trends Journal, “It will only be a matter of time before a series of final straw events breaks the public’s back, setting off uncontrollable uprisings, coups (bloodless and/or military), riots and revolts throughout the financially battered world.”

Trend Forecast: The unintended consequences of the regime changes in North Africa and the Middle East, and the uprisings we forecast that will roil Europe will be as fully dramatic as their intended consequences: the overthrow of governments. The calls by Presidents, Prime Ministers, cabinet officials and foreign policy experts for “orderly transition of power” are nothing more than diplomatic doublespeak and pure windbaggery. There is no such thing as a clean and simple revolution.

As we will see in Egypt, military coups will be disguised as regime changes. Already the public is being conditioned to view the Egyptian military as beloved liberators. But in fact they are simply another arm of the autocratic government, no more familiar with democratic ideals than the dictator they replace … who had himself been drawn from the ranks of the military.

The world leaders and world media are not recognizing the Egyptian uprising for what it is: a prelude to a series of civil wars that will lead to regional wars, that will lead to the first “Great War” of the 21st century. (See “The History of The Future: Trends 2012: The Great War,” Trends Journal, Spring 2010)

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One Response

  1. Mr. Celente does have much insight and has proven time and time again that he can gauge the general direction things are moving.

    The world has had enough of it’s vast riches going to the top 1 – 10% of the people and I think that what we are seeing is what happens when the “masses” start to realize that unless they do something now…there position will keep getting worse and worse until they wake up one day and see that their condition is WORSE than being a slave…and that all exits to a better way of life have been blocked or destroyed by the uber-wealthy.

    This desctruction of the middle classes is by design…do not fool yourself into thinking this collapse happened by accident or because people were too greedy (they are greedy…but this is not the main cause). The wealthy know that if they can keep the masses weak, divided and blaming each other for their problems…then they will have an easier time creating the situations that allow they to suck up even more resources and consolidate even more wealth and entrench their power even further.

    I can only hope that we Americans will wake up before we get too late into the game to make a comeback without a violent revolution.. I certainly do not want to see what is happening in places like Egypt and Tunisia happen here. I do fear though that we are close to a tipping point. If people in this nation start to go hungry (more than the 53 million now on food assistance programs)…anything can happen….

    I all of us would stop and look, and compare our economic situation to that of some of these nations that have recently been in turmoil…we might see that we are not really all that different. The income dispairity is about the same…the level of mistrust of government is nearly the same….we are living in a nation of ever-increasing military and police control and we have in essence a media situation here that any dictator would love….(three or 4 major corporations that control about 90% of everything you read, hear or watch…..

    These are very strange times we live in…and we would all be well advised to think ahead, think outside the proverbial “box” and prepare for the worst. It could be that the money masters manage to stave off the mother of all collapses for another 10 years…or indefeinately….but the chances are pretty good in my opinion that those of us living now will be witness to some dramatic and world-changing events happening in the not-to-distant future.

    Look at the trends…and ask yourself…where is the destination that they are taking us? The answer you come to may be very shocking.

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